Author Topic: Weather changes  (Read 1235 times)

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Marcel Bos

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Weather changes
« on: January 01, 2022, 03:41:33 PM »
I never quite understand weather changes.

Every army starts the game with 4 PIP-dice including dummy dice.
During the game the dummy dice will be removed.

The odds that a weather change will take place with 4 dice are much smaller that that it will take place with 3 or even 2 dice.
So during the game the odds that a weather change will take place grow.
Is that the intention of the rules?

Barritus

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Re: Weather changes
« Reply #1 on: January 03, 2022, 01:39:30 AM »
I never quite understand weather changes.

LOL.

Don't worry, those of us who've been playing for years still have problems.

Quote
Every army starts the game with 4 PIP-dice including dummy dice.

Correct.

Quote
During the game the dummy dice will be removed.

Correct.

Quote
The odds that a weather change will take place with 4 dice are much smaller that that it will take place with 3 or even 2 dice.
So during the game the odds that a weather change will take place grow.

Correct.

Quote
Is that the intention of the rules?

Good question.

It might be better to consider it a consequence of the rules rather than an intention of the rules.

I'd call it an unintended consequence, but others might not want to see things in such a negative way.

I'm quite sure this issue was pointed out in the earliest discussions of the rules back in the late-noughties, but I don't remember what Barker's view was at the time, or what conclusions were reached.

But yes, as the PIP dice disappear in the course of a game, the likelihood of weather changes increases.

Marcel Bos

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Re: Weather changes
« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2022, 09:23:45 PM »
So, even Phil Barker can't predict the weather  ;D
Thanx Barritus!